Thursday, May 8, 2025

Balance of Power: Soviet Nightmare

This level goes beyond challenge; it is a simple, brutal, unfair massacre. Enjoy.

Thus warns the manual about nightmare mode. For the sake of completion, I'm going to try it from the other side. The book warns thusly,

You should try playing as the USSR some time to develop a better feel for Soviet paranoia. As the General Secretary of the USSR, you will find that your resources are more limited than those of the American President. More important, you will find that you have fewer friends around the world. In fact, the world looks quite hostile from Moscow.

 

Well, right off the bat, Ethiopia is taken by right-wing militants, and the US won't be in a hurry to let us take it back. There are also revolutions in Zaire, to my benefit, and in Burma, to my detriment.

I review US actions.


Ha! Cuba is firmly in the USSR's pocket, with a +12 affinity advantage to our side, making it effectively untouchable. We will have our revenge for that humiliating missile crisis...


Oh. Oh no. I don't get it - computer controlled USSR would have never stood for that. But now I must or I lose! Not only that, but they're also intervening on behalf of Indonesia, which was impossible when I played as them, but I guess it's only funny when the computer does it.

Quickload

They also will not be shaken on their policy of aid to Nigeria despite the affinity numbers being in my favor by a degree of +9. At least the prestige loss from a DEFCON 2 backdown isn't crippling.

Next on the list is Ethiopia. An unshakable USSR stronghold in the last game, now it's under threat from US imperialists who would dare to establish diplomatic relations and lend them a $500 million aid package.

They back off, but not before I have to threaten them with a DEFCON 3.


It's quickly evident that my old tables don't apply. In particular, sphere of influence seems to be weighted more strongly than I estimated, and I'm not sure if that's because the rules are different for the USSR, or because it's nightmare mode, or if it's because I underweighted it the first time around and it just didn't matter as much in expert mode.

But I move some calculations around, and come up with a new order.


Solid US allies, in descending loyalty:


Region USA prestige USSR prestige Total prestige Sphere Defense treaty
West Germany West Europe 503 -365 585 Very strong USA Nuclear
Britain West Europe 325 -189 347 Absolute USA Nuclear
Italy West Europe 168 -84 216 Very strong USA Nuclear
Japan Pacific 189 -86 220 Very strong USA Conventional
South Korea Far East 158 -111 203 Very strong USA Conventional
France West Europe 267 -200 428 Fair USA Nuclear
Canada North America 92 -44 95 Very strong USA Nuclear
Israel Middle East 99 -87 159 Absolute USA Conventional
Spain West Europe 87 -61 112 Strong USA Nuclear
Greece East Europe 33 -8 53 Very strong USA Nuclear
Australia Pacific 49 -32 70 Very strong USA Conventional
Saudi Arabia Middle East 71 -40 130 Absolute USA Bases
Turkey Middle East 57 -47 122 Strong USA Conventional
Phillipines Pacific 27 -13 44 Fair USA Conventional
Egypt North Africa 47 -28 122 Fair USA Bases
Pakistan Middle East 23 -18 60 Fair USA Bases
Thailand Far East 31 -17 57 Slight USA Bases
Morocco North Africa 29 -11 74 Slight USA Bases

 

Solid USSR allies, in ascending loyalty:


Region USA prestige USSR prestige Total prestige Sphere Defense treaty
Syria Middle East -14 35 90 Strong USSR Conventional
Iraq Middle East 0 0 95 Strong USSR Bases
Yugoslavia East Europe 6 12 81 Strong USSR Conventional
Angola South Africa -4 4 17 Very strong USSR Bases
Ethiopia North Africa -6 12 40 Very strong USSR Bases
Libya North Africa -18 12 38 Absolute USSR Conventional
Afghanistan Middle East -73 41 133 Very strong USSR Nuclear
Czechoslovakia East Europe -56 140 180 Absolute USSR Nuclear
North Korea Far East -119 163 190 Absolute USSR Nuclear
Poland East Europe -57 191 245 Very strong USSR Nuclear
East Germany East Europe -77 194 249 Absolute USSR Nuclear
Vietnam Far East -140 280 358 Absolute USSR Nuclear

 

Battleground states, in ascending order of US loyalty:


Region USA prestige USSR prestige Total prestige Sphere Defense treaty
Taiwan Pacific 9 -9 58 Fair USA Bases
Honduras North America 5 -3 13 Fair USA Bases
Sweden West Europe 31 15 100 Strong USA
Panama North America 0 0 1 Fair USA Bases
Mexico North America 11 2 37 Very strong USA
Brazil South America 23 0 75 Fair USA
Colombia South America 12 -2 31 Fair USA
Chile South America 10 7 14 Fair USA
South Africa South Africa 6 -12 41 Slight USA
Venezuela South America 3 0 22 Fair USA
Peru South America 3 1 24 Fair USA
Sudan North Africa 0 -1 10 Slight USSR
Burma Far East Varies Varies 5 Varies
Nigeria North Africa 8 -17 109 Strong USSR
Mali North Africa Varies Varies 6 Varies
Argentina South America -6 6 88 Fair USA
Kenya South Africa 0 0 4 Slight USSR
Tunisia North Africa 1 0 5 Strong USSR
Algeria North Africa 0 0 19 Fair USSR
Zaire South Africa Varies Varies 9 Varies
Tanzania South Africa 0 0 6 Strong USSR
Zimbabwe South Africa 0 0 11 Strong USSR
Mozambique South Africa Varies Varies 3 Varies
India Far East -3 3 49 Fair USSR


Special cases:


Region USA prestige USSR prestige Total prestige Sphere Defense treaty
China Far East 227 -568 1455 Slight USSR
Cuba North America -48 60 78 Strong USSR Nuclear
Indonesia Pacific 16 -22 72 Slight USSR
Iran Middle East -112 -48 205 Slight USSR
Nicaragua North America -3 3 5 Slight USA

Iran is the only case here that seems to obey the normal rules. As a mutual enemy, the US will tolerate any and all negative actions toward them. And you'd better do the same when they inevitably do. But after that, it gets bizarre.

China, by the numbers, should be targetable with negative actions. The Soviet hate is much stronger than the US love. But if you try anything at all, the US will absolutely refuse it.

Cuba, also by the numbers, should be absolutely untouchable by the US. Despite that, the US will overthrow Castro's regime, and you can't stop it.

Indonesia, conversely, is untouchable by you. The US will send military aid, but it probably won't work, and you'll have a communist revolution anyway, but not necessarily one that benefits you.

In Nicaragua, the US will aid the left-wing Sandinista, and you can't convince them not to, even though the stats suggest this should be possible.

 

For my next and final post on the game, I will try a semi-honest round using these new tables.

2 comments:

  1. "Oh. Oh no. I don't get it - computer controlled USSR would have never stood for that. But now I must or I lose!"

    It's not "I must or I lose", it's "I must or *everybody* loses". The difference was when computer was playing USSR, it had no compunctions of making sure everybody loses. But you as a human have additional external incentives, such as desire to not end the game prematurely.

    If we switch sides and you had made this move as US against the computer USSR, it would have played out the same. It goes to the brink and either you back off or everybody loses. The computer US again doesn't care if the game ends early.

    It would be interesting to see how often a computer vs computer would do these sort of boneheaded moves that are all but guaranteed to escalate to nuclear war against a computer.

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    Replies
    1. Computer vs. computer would be guaranteed to end immediately. The computer-controlled USA always overthrows Castro on turn one. The computer-controlled Soviets would never tolerate that. The computer-controlled US always backs Indonesia's New Order, and the computer-controlled USSR always backs the communists, and would mutually nuke each other over that.

      In any event, the computer doesn't actually care if it wins or loses, but its crisis-mode decisions usually have some consistency; if the computer would have zero tolerance for any given action, then it should also back down when challenged for doing the same action itself. But there seem to be some hard-coded exceptions.

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